2 Days To Go — TrendPo sees Governor races breaking for Bullock, Hassan, Nixon, Inslee…


With just a few days to go until the elections, we’re going to start matching up our daily ranks with those of RCP Polls where available for the Gubernatorial races.

Again, TrendPo runs a daily algorithm that scrapes National Media, Beltway Media, Facebook pages, Twitter profiles, and sentiment analysis. There is no polling, no sampling, and no bias. It’s a calculation we run every day against every politician on ballot for next Tuesday. We will continue it to run post Nov. 6th to track buzz and movement of all winning candidates and current incumbents.

NOTE #1: In the charts below, TrendPo Rank means the rank position of that politician out of 1608 Governor, Senator, House members: both challenger and incumbents. #1 is the best, #1608 is the worst.  To get higher on the rank, you need to gain “buzz” (either news momentum, good sentiment analysis, or increasing social movement on Facebook and Twitter) over the last week. The TrendPo Rank only calculates scores for the last 7 days, so in short, it’s measuring buzz over the last week.

NOTE #2: On TrendPo Rank page, the (+) and (-) numbers shows the day over day change in rank position. For example, Jack Markell TR 92 (+12) means that today he is ranked 92 and yesterday he was ranked 80 for a +12 change today.

Here’s the list of all 11 Gubernatorial Races with corresponding RCP Polls:

DELAWARE:
Jack Markell                         TR-112
Jeff Cragg                            TR-393
TrendPo Rank Difference:     281 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

INDIANA:
Kevin Gregg                         TR-218
Mike Pence                          TR-443
TrendPo Rank Difference:     225 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               Likely GOP

MISSOURI:
Jay Nixon                             TR-226
Dave Spence                        TR-267
TrendPo Rank Difference:     41 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Nixon +7
RCP Poll Rankings:               Likely Dem

 

MONTANA:
Steve Bullock                       TR-216
Rick Hill                               TR-293
TrendPo Rank Difference:     77 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Hill +1.7
RCP Poll Rankings:               Toss-up

NORTH CAROLINA:
Walter Dalton                      TR- 424
Pat McCrory                        TR- 439
TrendPo Rank Difference:    15 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                McCrory +15.3
RCP Poll Rankings:               Likely GOP

NORTH DAKOTA:
Jack Dalrymple                    TR-333
Ryan Taylor                         TR-516
TrendPo Rank Difference:     183 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               Safe GOP

NEW HAMPSHIRE:
Maggie Hassan                    TR-311
Angus King                          TR-314
TrendPo Rank Difference:     3 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Hassan +2.4
RCP Poll Rankings:               Toss-up

UTAH:
Gary Herbert                       TR-301
Peter Cooke                         TR-406
TrendPo Rank Difference:     105 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

VERMONT:
Peter Shumlin                     TR-193
Randy Brock                       TR-352
TrendPo Rank Difference:    159 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

WASHINGTON:
Jay Inslee                           TR-228
Rob McKenna                      TR-445
TrendPo Rank Difference:     217 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Inslee 1.0
RCP Poll Rankings:               Toss-up

WEST VIRGINA:
Bill Maloney                         TR-51
Earl Ray Tomblin                  TR-134
TrendPo Rank Difference:     83 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

 

GALLERY:

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