1 Day To Go — McCrory, Tomblin, Pence settling into their victories…Hassan, Bullock possible surprises


With just a few days to go until the elections, we’re going to start matching up our daily ranks with those of RCP Polls where available for the Gubernatorial races.

Again, TrendPo runs a daily algorithm that scrapes National Media, Beltway Media, Facebook pages, Twitter profiles, and sentiment analysis. There is no polling, no sampling, and no bias. It’s a calculation we run every day against every politician on ballot for next Tuesday. We will continue it to run post Nov. 6th to track buzz and movement of all winning candidates and current incumbents.

NOTE #1: In the charts below, TrendPo Rank means the rank position of that politician out of 1608 Governor, Senator, House members: both challenger and incumbents. #1 is the best, #1608 is the worst.  To get higher on the rank, you need to gain “buzz” (either news momentum, good sentiment analysis, or increasing social movement on Facebook and Twitter) over the last week. The TrendPo Rank only calculates scores for the last 7 days, so in short, it’s measuring buzz over the last week.

NOTE #2: On TrendPo Rank page, the (+) and (-) numbers shows the day over day change in rank position. For example, Jack Markell TR 92 (+12) means that today he is ranked 92 and yesterday he was ranked 80 for a +12 change today.

Here’s the list of all 11 Gubernatorial Races with corresponding RCP Polls:

DELAWARE:
Jack Markell                         TR-113
Jeff Cragg                            TR-389
TrendPo Rank Difference:     276 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

INDIANA:
Mike Pence                          TR-200
Kevin Gregg                         TR-212
TrendPo Rank Difference:     12 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               Likely GOP

MISSOURI:
Jay Nixon                             TR-228
Dave Spence                        TR-262
TrendPo Rank Difference:     34 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Nixon +7
RCP Poll Rankings:               Likely Dem

 

MONTANA:
Steve Bullock                       TR-243
Rick Hill                               TR-301
TrendPo Rank Difference:     58 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Hill +1.7
RCP Poll Rankings:               Toss-up

NORTH CAROLINA:
Pat McCrory                        TR- 310
Walter Dalton                      TR- 393
TrendPo Rank Difference:    83 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                McCrory +15.3
RCP Poll Rankings:               Likely GOP

NORTH DAKOTA:
Jack Dalrymple                    TR-331
Ryan Taylor                         TR-508
TrendPo Rank Difference:     177 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               Safe GOP

NEW HAMPSHIRE:
Maggie Hassan                    TR-237
Angus King                          TR-292
TrendPo Rank Difference:     55 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Hassan +2.4
RCP Poll Rankings:               Toss-up

UTAH:
Gary Herbert                       TR-299
Peter Cooke                         TR-395
TrendPo Rank Difference:     96 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

VERMONT:
Peter Shumlin                     TR-199
Randy Brock                       TR-344
TrendPo Rank Difference:    145 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

WASHINGTON:
Jay Inslee                           TR-197
Rob McKenna                      TR-433
TrendPo Rank Difference:     236 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                Inslee 1.0
RCP Poll Rankings:               Toss-up

WEST VIRGINA:
Earl Ray Tomblin                  TR-137
Bill Maloney                         TR-232
TrendPo Rank Difference:     95 Ranks

RCP Poll Average:                None
RCP Poll Rankings:               None

 

GALLERY:

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